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Example scenarios

Same engine, eight audiences, eight different answers.

The archetypes below are the scenarios we design and test Audonomics against. Each one has a real audience and no system that turns it into a business. What changes between them is not the category — it is the shape of the audience, and that is the only thing the engine reads.

These are not customers. Every name, number and outcome on this page is an illustrative scenario constructed to show how the engine reasons. We do not publish invented testimonials, logos or results, and we will not start.

  • Musician

    Immersion
    Illustrative scenario
    Audience shape
    • 340,000 monthly listeners across streaming
    • 62,000 email subscribers, 31% open rate
    • Toured 14 cities in the last two years
    Observed
    Ranked first

    Four-night listening retreat · 60 guests

    511 members have already travelled to a show outside their own city, and the Traveler segment carries 4.1× the median lifetime spend. A fifteenth tour date competes with the fourteen you already played; a retreat does not.

    What the model said
    Capacity
    60 guests
    Blended price
    $2,993
    Break-even
    22 guests
    Base contribution
    $47,000

    Honest caveat: Revenue is modeled until the deposit test closes. Costs are external — three vendor quotes within 8%.

  • Influencer

    Gather
    Illustrative scenario
    Audience shape
    • 1.2M short-form followers, median watch 4 seconds
    • 9,400 email subscribers — attention is broad and shallow
    • Audience concentrated in 12 metros
    Observed
    Ranked first

    Twelve-city meet-and-greet · paid photo tier

    The retreat ranked fifth here, not first. Volume at a low price beats depth at a high one when the audience is wide and lightly attached. The engine follows the audience, not the category.

    What the model said
    Cities
    12
    Capacity per city
    250
    Entry price
    $45
    Photo tier
    $180

    Honest caveat: Audience fit scored 71 and demand 84, but margin scored 52 — venue and security costs eat a low ticket fast.

  • Chef

    Gather
    Illustrative scenario
    Audience shape
    • One restaurant, 180,000 social followers
    • 6,200 past reservation records imported from the booking system
    • Waitlist that has never been monetised
    Observed
    Ranked first

    Twelve-seat dinner series · four cities

    Near-zero fixed cost, six weeks from decision to first seating, and a capacity so small that demand risk is close to nil. It scored 81 on almost no revenue potential — because complexity scored 19.

    What the model said
    Seats per city
    12
    Price
    $450
    Fixed cost per city
    $3,900
    Break-even
    9 seats

    Honest caveat: Reservation history is observed. The four-city extrapolation is modeled.

  • Athlete

    Immersion
    Illustrative scenario
    Audience shape
    • Retired professional, 90,000 followers
    • Existing one-to-one coaching list of 340 people
    • Strong regional concentration in two states
    Observed
    Ranked first

    Training camp · travel package · spectator tier

    The coaching list is small but converts at a rate no social audience matches. Adding a parent and spectator tier roughly doubles addressable capacity without touching the camp's marginal cost.

    What the model said
    Athletes
    48
    Spectator tier
    96
    Athlete price
    $1,200
    Break-even
    31 athletes

    Honest caveat: Minor participants raise a real compliance and consent burden. Risk scored 64.

  • YouTuber

    Education
    Illustrative scenario
    Audience shape
    • 800,000 subscribers, business and education content
    • 48,000 email subscribers with a 44% open rate
    • Existing $29/month membership at 2,100 members
    Observed
    Ranked first

    Creator mastermind · two cohorts of 24

    The membership already proves willingness to pay monthly. A high-price, low-capacity cohort monetises the top of that base without cannibalising it — and the alumni become the recruitment channel for cohort three.

    What the model said
    Cohorts
    2 × 24
    Price
    $4,800
    Required conversion
    2.3% of members
    Base contribution
    $142,000

    Honest caveat: Required conversion is calculated. Whether it is achievable is a judgement, not a number.

  • Author

    Immersion
    Illustrative scenario
    Audience shape
    • 40,000 newsletter subscribers, 52% open rate
    • Three books, 11,000 direct sales through the site
    • No events, ever
    Observed
    Ranked first

    One-week writing immersion · 24 places

    Small audience, extraordinary engagement. Direct book buyers are the highest-signal segment in this shape — they chose to buy from the author rather than the cheaper, easier retailer.

    What the model said
    Places
    24
    Price
    $3,400
    Fixed cost
    $22,600
    Break-even
    9 places

    Honest caveat: First-time operator. Time-to-launch scored 44 and complexity 58, which held the composite to 69.

  • Gamer

    Participation
    Illustrative scenario
    Audience shape
    • 250,000 followers on a live streaming platform
    • Highly synchronous audience — 18,000 concurrent at peak
    • Young audience, low median disposable income
    Observed
    Ranked first

    Regional tournament · 128 competitors · spectator tier

    Competitor entry fees alone do not clear the fixed cost. The engine ranked it first anyway because the sponsorship engine found three plausible package tiers against an audience with rare, verifiable concurrency.

    What the model said
    Competitors
    128
    Entry fee
    $25
    Sponsorship target
    $60,000
    Break-even
    Sponsorship-dependent

    Honest caveat: Break-even is contingent on sponsorship, which is modeled. The engine flags contingent break-even rather than averaging it away.

  • Educator

    Membership
    Illustrative scenario
    Audience shape
    • 22,000 past students across four self-paced courses
    • Completion rate of 34% — a large, warm, under-served base
    • No recurring revenue at all
    Observed
    Ranked first

    Live cohort programme · alumni membership

    The opportunity here is not a new product; it is recurrence. A cohort creates the alumni base, and the membership turns a one-time purchase population into a monthly one.

    What the model said
    Cohort size
    60
    Cohort price
    $890
    Membership
    $19/month
    Modelled MRR at 9%
    $18,900

    Honest caveat: Membership retention is modeled from a category assumption, not from your data. Confidence 0.44.

Every figure above is constructed for illustration. No customer data appears on this page.

The pattern

Notice what did not happen.

The engine did not recommend a retreat eight times. The influencer got a low-price, high-volume tour. The gamer got a sponsorship-contingent tournament with the contingency stated on the face of it. The educator got recurrence rather than a new product.

That is the difference between a system that reads an audience and a template that reads a category. Two musicians with identically sized followings can get opposite answers, because one has 511 people who have crossed a border for them and the other has none.

It is also why we will not show you a case study with a number on it until there is a real one. When there is, it will carry a provenance label like everything else.

Find out which of these you actually are.

Connect a source and let the engine read the shape of your audience rather than the label on your category.